Delinquent
behavior has long been a serious and costly problem in American society.
Although the U.S. delinquency rate has declined since the mid-1990s, it
is still among the highest in the industrialized countries. To reduce
delinquent behavior and improve societal well-being, it is essential to
develop effective intervention programs. In turn, effective programs
depend on a firm, scientific understanding of the origins of
delinquency. The Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention's
(OJJDP's) Program of Research on the Causes and Correlates of
Delinquency constitutes the largest, most comprehensive investigation of
the causes and correlates of delinquency ever undertaken.
For the past 17 years,
the program, which consists of three longitudinal studies (the Denver
Youth Survey, the Pittsburgh Youth Study, and the Rochester Youth
Development Study) has contributed substantially to an understanding of
delinquent behavior. This article summarizes a few of the many empirical
findings generated by these studies and policy implications arising
therefrom.1
The
Studies
Each study uses a longitudinal design in which a sample of children
and/or adolescents was selected and then followed over time to chart the
course of their development. The studies oversampled youth at high risk
for serious delinquency; however, because the studies used statistical
weighting, the samples represent the broader population of urban
adolescents.
Denver
Youth Survey
The Denver Youth Survey is based on a probability sample of households
in high-risk neighborhoods of Denver, CO, selected on the basis of their
population, housing characteristics, and high official crime rates. The
survey respondents include 1,527 children who were ages 7, 9, 11, 13, or
15 in 1987 and who lived in one of the more than 20,000 randomly
selected households. The sample of children includes 806 boys and 721
girls. These respondents, along with a parent or primary caretaker, were
interviewed annually from 1988 until 1992 and from 1995 until 1999. The
younger two age groups were reinterviewed in 2003. The sample is
composed of African Americans (33 percent), Latinos (45 percent), whites
(10 percent), and youth of other ethnic groups (12 percent). To date,
Denver researchers have studied subjects ranging in age from 7 through
27.
Pittsburgh Youth Study
The Pittsburgh Youth Study is based on a sample of 1,517 boys from
Pittsburgh, PA, selected in 198788. To identify high-risk subjects, an
initial screening assessment of problem behaviors was conducted in the
first, fourth, and seventh grades of the Pittsburgh public school
system. Boys who scored above the upper 30th percentile for their grade
were identified as high risk, and approximately 250 of them were
randomly selected for followup, along with 250 boys from the remaining
70 percent. The subjects, parents or primary caretakers, and teachers
were interviewed at 6-month intervals for the first 5 years of the
study, although the fourth grade sample was discontinued after seven
assessments. Since the sixth year of the study, followups of the first
and seventh grade samples have been conducted annually. In the followup
period, researchers are studying data regarding the sampled youth from
when they were age 7 to their current age of 25.
Rochester Youth Development Study
The Rochester Youth Development Study is based on a sample of 729 boys
and 271 girls who were in the seventh and eighth grades (ages 1314) in
the public schools of Rochester, NY, in 1988. The sample is composed of
African American (68 percent), Hispanic (17 percent), and white (15
percent) youth. Each student, along with a parent or primary caretaker,
was interviewed at 6-month intervals for the first 41/2
years of the study. From ages 2022, the subjects and their caretakers
were interviewed annually, and the subjects are currently being
reinterviewed at ages 28 and 30.
The
Studies Collectively
These studies provide data on delinquent behavior from 1987 to the
present, and have included more than 4,000 subjects ranging in age from
as young as 7 to as old as 30. The samples have a strong representation
of serious, violent, and chronic offenders. To date, more than 100,000
personal interviews have been conducted, and volumes of additional data
from schools, police, courts, social services, and other agencies have
been collected.
The Causes and
Correlates studies have addressed scores of different topics related to
juvenile delinquency and juvenile justice. In the following pages, the
authors summarize just a few of these many investigations. Some of the
topics are specific to one of the projects; other topics are
investigated with data from two or all three projects.
Patterns
of Delinquency
The Causes and Correlates studies have provided descriptive data that
trace the onset and development of delinquency. Three key topics are
childhood aggression, developmental pathways to delinquency, and the
overlap of problem behaviors.
Childhood Aggression
The vast majority of the youth in the Denver and Pittsburgh studies
reported involvement in some form of physical aggression before age 13
(85 percent of the boys and 77 percent of the girls in Denver and 88
percent of the boys in Pittsburgh) (Espiritu et al., 2001). Well over
half (roughly 60 percent of both genders in Denver and 80 percent of the
Pittsburgh boys) reported such aggression before age 9. In addition,
approximately half of the Denver children (57 percent of the boys, 40
percent of the girls) and 32 percent of the Pittsburgh boys reported
more serious aggression in which the victim was hurt (bruised or worse),
and 47 percent of the boys and 28 percent of the girls in Denver and 14
percent of the Pittsburgh boys reported assaults that resulted in more
serious injuries to the victim (e.g., cuts, bleeding wounds, or injuries
requiring medical treatment).
As these findings
indicate, aggression during childhood is quite common, although exactly
how widespread depends on how aggression is defined. Involvement in
aggression, however, is not necessarily extensive or long lasting. A
substantial amount of delinquency, including aggression, is limited to
childhood. For example, only about half (49 percent) of the Denver
children involved in minor violence in which the victim was hurt or
injured continued this behavior for more than 2 years. In fact, much
aggressive behavior, and an even larger proportion of other delinquency,
appears to be limited to childhood. However, a large proportion about
half of aggressive children continue to be aggressive for several
years into at least early adolescence. Exactly what distinguishes
children who cease to be aggressive and those who continue remains to be
determined.
Developmental Pathways
Childhood aggression that continues and escalates as individuals age
raises two key questions: Does the movement to serious delinquency
progress in an orderly fashion, and is there a single dominant pathway
or are there multiple pathways?
What distinguishes children who cease to be aggressive and those who
continue?
The onset of minor
aggression (e.g., arguing, bullying) tends to occur first, followed by
the onset of physical fighting (including gang fighting), and then by
the onset of other violence such as robbery or rape (Loeber and Hay,
1997). These results suggest that development toward serious forms of
delinquency tends to be orderly.
Initial research
comparing single and multiple pathways found that a model of three
distinct pathways (see
figure
1) provided the best fit to the data:
-
The Authority
Conflict Pathway, which starts with stubborn behavior before age 12
and progresses to defiance and then to authority avoidance (e.g.,
truancy).
-
The Covert
Pathway, which starts with minor covert acts before age 15 and
progresses to property damage and then to moderate and then to
serious delinquency.
-
The Overt Pathway
starts with minor aggression and progresses to physical fighting and
then to more severe violence (no minimum age is associated with this
pathway).
Figure 1: Developmental Pathways to Serious and Violent Offending
These results were
replicated for African American and white boys in Pittsburgh across
three age samples (Loeber et al., 1993, 1998). They have also been
replicated in a sample of African American and Hispanic adolescents in
Chicago and in a nationally representative U.S. sample of adolescents (Tolan,
Gorman-Smith, and Loeber, 2000). Replications also have been
successfully undertaken in the Denver Youth Survey and the Rochester
Youth Development Study (Loeber et al., 1999).
As they became older,
some boys progressed on two or three pathways, indicating an increasing
variety of problem behaviors over time (Kelley et al., 1997; Loeber et
al., 1993; Loeber, Keenan, and Zhang, 1997). Researchers found some
evidence that development along more than one pathway was orderly. For
example, aggressive boys committing overt acts were particularly at risk
of also committing covert acts, but not vice versa. Further, conflict
with authority figures was either a precursor or a concomitant of boys'
escalation in overt or covert acts (Loeber et al., 1993). Also, an early
age of onset of problem behavior or delinquency was associated with
escalation to more serious behaviors in all the pathways (Tolan,
Gorman-Smith, and Loeber, 2000). The pathway model accounted for the
majority of the most seriously delinquent boys, that is, those who
self-reported high rates of offending (Loeber et al., 1993; Loeber,
Keenan, and Zhang, (1997) or those who were court-reported delinquents (Loeber,
Keenan, and Zhang, 1997).
The pathway model
shows that the warning signs of early onset of disruptive behavior
cannot necessarily be dismissed with a this-will-soon-pass attitude
(Kelley et al., 1997). However, it is not yet possible to distinguish
accurately between boys whose problem behaviors will worsen over time
and those who will improve. The pathway model is a way to help identify
youth at risk and optimize early interventions before problem behavior
becomes entrenched and escalates.
The
Overlap of Problem Behaviors
The pathways analyses found that many delinquent youth, especially the
more serious offenders, engaged in multiple forms of delinquency. Many
youth who commit serious offenses also experience difficulties in other
areas of life. With the exception of drug use, however, little is known
about the overlap of these problem behaviors in general populations. Do
most youth who commit serious delinquent acts have school and mental
health problems? Are most youth who have school or mental health
problems also seriously delinquent?
The Causes and
Correlates studies examined these questions in all three sites (Huizinga
and Jakob-Chien, 1998; Huizinga, Loeber, and Thornberry, 1993; Huizinga
et al., 2000). Recognizing that involvement in delinquency or in other
problem behaviors can be transitory or intermittent, the studies
examined the level of overlap of more persistent drug use, school
problems, and mental health problems2
that lasted for at least 2 of the 3 years examined (Huizinga et al.,
2000).
There was some
consistency of findings for males across sites. Although a sizeable
proportion of persistent and serious offenders do have other behavioral
problems, more than half do not. Thus, it would be incorrect to
characterize persistent and serious delinquents generally as having
drug, school, or mental health problems. On the other hand, drug,
school, and mental health problems are strong risk factors for
involvement in persistent and serious delinquency, and more than half
(5573 percent) of the male respondents in all three sites with two or
more persistent problems were also persistent and serious delinquents.
For females, the
findings were different and varied by site. As with the males, fewer
than half of the persistent and serious female delinquents had drug,
school, or mental health problems. In contrast to males, however, these
problems alone or in combination were not strong risk factors for
serious delinquency. This result stems, in part, from the fact that a
substantially smaller proportion of girls (5 percent) than boys (2030
percent) was involved in persistent and serious delinquency, while their
rates (within sites) of other problem behaviors were roughly similar to
those of males.
It is important to
note that these findings are for general population samples. Additional
analyses of the Denver data found substantial differences between
population findings and findings among youth who had been arrested and
became involved in the juvenile justice system (Huizinga and Elliott,
2003). Among males who were persistent and serious offenders, 69 percent
of those who had been arrested had one or more problems, whereas only 37
percent of those who had not been arrested had such problems. Although
there were too few persistent serious offenders among females to permit
control of delinquent involvement, 81 percent of the females who were
arrested had one or more problems compared with only 12 percent among
females who were not arrested.
Thus there appears to
be a concentration of offenders entering the juvenile justice system who
have drug use, school, or mental health-related problems. Accordingly,
the capability to identify the particular configuration of problems
facing individual offenders and provide interventions to address these
problems is critical to the effectiveness of the juvenile justice
system.
Two Key
Risk Factors for Delinquency
The Causes and Correlates studies have investigated a host of risk
factors involving child behavior, family functioning, peer behavior,
school performance, and neighborhood characteristics that precede and
potentially lead to delinquency. Findings on just two topics child
maltreatment and gangs are summarized here.3
Child
Maltreatment
Prior research indicates that child maltreatment (e.g., physical abuse,
sexual abuse, neglect) that occurs at some point prior to age 18 is a
risk factor for delinquency (Widom, 1989; Zingraff et al., 1993). This
relationship was also observed in the Pittsburgh and Rochester studies
(Smith and Thornberry, 1995; Stouthamer-Loeber et al., 2001, 2002). In
the Rochester study, for example, Smith and Thornberry (1995) found that
subjects maltreated before age 12, who may or may not also have been
maltreated between ages 12 and 18, were significantly more likely to be
arrested and to self-report more delinquency, especially serious and
violent delinquency, than subjects who had not been maltreated prior to
age 12 (see also Widom, 1989; Zingraff et al., 1993).
While prior studies
have made important contributions to the literature, they do not
explicitly take adolescent maltreatment into account. This results in
two problems. First, the victims of childhood maltreatment referred to
above actually contain two groups: those victimized in childhood only
and those victimized in childhood and adolescence. Second, the
comparison group, youth who were never maltreated, is likely to include
some youth who were actually maltreated in adolescence (i.e., after age
12), but not in childhood. Because of these issues, it is hard to know
if the previous conclusion that childhood maltreatment is a risk
factor for delinquency is accurate. Relying on its longitudinal
design, the Rochester project was able to reexamine the link between
maltreatment and delinquency, taking into account when the maltreatment
occurred (Ireland, Smith, and Thornberry, 2002; Thornberry, Ireland, and
Smith, 2001).
Of the subjects in the
Rochester study, 78 percent were never maltreated and 22 percent were.
Of the latter, 11 percent were maltreated in childhood only (before age
12 but not after), 8 percent were maltreated in adolescence only, and 3
percent were persistently maltreated (i.e., they had at least one
substantiated case in childhood and at least one in adolescence).
The relationship to
delinquency is intriguing.
Figure
2 presents self-reported and official arrest data on the prevalence
of delinquency for four groups of youth: those who were never
maltreated, those who were maltreated in childhood only, those who were
maltreated in adolescence only, and those who were persistently
maltreated. For self-reported general delinquency that occurs from ages
16 to 18,4
the subjects who were
maltreated during childhood only were not at significantly greater risk
for delinquency (53.8 percent) than those who were never maltreated
(49.6 percent). Subjects maltreated during adolescence, however, were at
significantly greater risk. The delinquency level for the
adolescence-only group (69.8 percent) was significantly higher than that
for those who were never maltreated, and the delinquency level for those
persistently maltreated in both childhood and adolescence was the
highest (71.4 percent). The same pattern of results applies to other
self-reported measures of delinquency: drug use, violent crime, and
street crime (Ireland, Smith, and Thornberry, 2002). For official arrest
records, 21.3 percent of youth who were never maltreated had arrest
records and 23.5 percent of youth who were maltreated in childhood only
had arrest records. In contrast, 50.7 percent of youth maltreated in
adolescence had arrest records and 50.0 percent of youth maltreated in
both developmental stages had been arrested. The latter rates are
significantly higher than the rate for those never maltreated.
Figure 2: Maltreatment and Delinquency

Gangs
The Rochester project also investigated how gang membership influences
adolescent development. The results have recently been published in
Gangs and Delinquency in Developmental Perspective (Thornberry et
al., 2003). Key findings are summarized here, as are findings from the
Denver Youth Survey.
Approximately 30
percent of the Rochester subjects joined a gang at some point during the
4-year period covering ages 1418. The membership rate was virtually
identical for boys (32 percent) and girls (29 percent). Gang membership
turned out to be a rather fleeting experience for most of these youth.
Half of the male gang members reported being in a gang for 1 year or
less, and only 7 percent reported being a gang member for all 4 years.
Two-thirds (66 percent) of the females were in a gang for 1 year or less
and none reported being a member for all 4 years.
Although fleeting,
gang membership had a tremendous impact on the lives of these youth.
Gang members both male and female accounted for the lion's share of
all delinquency. Although gang members were only 30 percent of the
studied population, they were involved in 63 percent of all delinquent
acts (excluding gang fights), 82 percent of serious delinquencies, 70
percent of drug sales, and 54 percent of all arrests.
Two explanations for
the strong association between gang membership and delinquency are
frequently raised. One focuses on the individual: gangs attract
antisocial adolescents who will likely get into trouble whether or not
they are in a gang. The second focuses on the group: individual gang
members are not fundamentally different from nonmembers, but when they
are in the gang, the gang facilitates their involvement in delinquency.
If the second
explanation is correct, gang members should have higher rates of
delinquency only during the period of membership, not before or after
that period. That is precisely what the Rochester data showed, as
illustrated in
figure
3. This pattern is found across the 4-year period studied and is
observed for various offenses, particularly violence, drug sales, and
illegal gun ownership and use.
Figure 3: Self-Reported General Delinquency for Males Active in a Gang
for 1 out of 4 Years Studied

The impact of being in
a street gang is not limited to its short-term effect on delinquent
behavior. It also contributes to disorderly transitions from adolescence
to adulthood. As compared with individuals who were never members of a
gang, male gang members were significantly more likely to drop out of
school, get a girl pregnant, become a teenage father, cohabit with a
woman without being married, and have unstable employment. Female gang
members were significantly more likely to become pregnant, become a
teenage mother, and to have unstable employment.
The relationship
between gang membership and delinquency has also been investigated in
the Denver Youth Survey and in other studies, including a companion
project in Bremen, Germany (Esbensen and Huizinga, 1993; Esbensen,
Huizinga, and Weiher, 1993; Hill et al., 1996; Huizinga, 1997, 1998;
Huizinga and Schumann, 2001). Many of Rochester's findings about gang
membership were replicated in Denver's high-risk sample.
For example, a fair
proportion of both genders in Denver 18 percent of the males and 9
percent of the females have been gang members. Denver findings also
reveal that gang members accounted for a very disproportionate amount of
crime, as do findings in the other studies (Hill et al., 1996; Huizinga
and Schumann, 2001). Denver male and female gang members accounted for
approximately 80 percent of all serious and violent crime (excluding
gang fights) committed by the sample. Further, over a 5-year period,
these individuals committed the vast majority of crimes while they were
gang members (e.g., 85 percent of their serious violent offenses, 86
percent of their serious property offenses, and 80 percent of their drug
sale offenses). The social processes of being an active gang member
clearly facilitate or enhance involvement in delinquent behavior.
The studies have also
investigated the developmental processes leading to gang membership. In
the Denver sample, although gang members and nonmembers were similar in
many respects, there were substantial differences between gang members
and other serious delinquents in the years preceding gang membership. In
the years before they became gang members, individuals were more likely
to be involved in higher levels of minor and serious delinquency and
drug use, were more involved with delinquent peers, and were less
involved with conventional peers. They also displayed weaker beliefs
about the wrongfulness of delinquent behavior and a greater willingness
to make excuses for involvement in delinquent behavior. The Rochester
project found these variables, measured in early adolescence, to be
significant risk factors for joining a gang as well (Thornberry et al.,
2003). Poor school performance and brittle parent-child relationships
also increased the risk of gang membership.
Because of the very
high contribution of gang members to the volume of crime, developing
effective gang prevention and intervention programs is important and
urgent. Police data on gang crimes are helpful in identifying sites
particularly affected by gang activity and in providing information for
the evaluation of gang intervention activities. Among police departments
that collect gang-related data, however, some define gang crimes as any
crime committed by a gang member, others require that several gang
members be involved in the offense, and yet others collect both kinds of
information. The Denver study found that although gang members committed
more group crimes than other delinquent youth, both before and after
joining a gang, they also committed more offenses while alone than other
youth. For example, more than one-third of their serious assaults were
committed while alone (Huizinga, 1996). Thus, the measurement difference
appears to be significant.
Given the large
contribution of gang members to the total volume and location of crime,
it would seem helpful for police departments to collect and separate
both kinds of data to provide information about the nature of the local
gang problem and to help plan local intervention activities. For more
information on risk factors as they relate to gangs, see Strategic
Risk-Based Response to Youth Gangs.
Responding to Delinquency
There are various ways to respond to juvenile crime, including
interventions through the juvenile justice system and the provision of
general social services or specialized prevention and treatment
programs. The Causes and Correlates studies have investigated these
different strategies, and the longitudinal results suggest alternative
strategies.
Arrest
The Denver study conducted several examinations of the impact of arrest
using various analytical strategies (Esbensen, Thornberry, and Huizinga,
1991; Huizinga and Esbensen, 1992; Huizinga, Esbensen, and Weiher, 1996;
Huizinga et al., 2003). The findings from these studies are quite
consistent. In general, arrest has little impact on subsequent
delinquent behavior, and when it does have an impact, it is most likely
an increase in future delinquent behavior. These findings are in
agreement with several other studies of the impact of arrest (Klein,
1986; Sherman et al., 1997). In addition, those who are arrested and
incarcerated as juveniles are substantially more likely to be
incarcerated as adults (Huizinga, 2000).
There are different
possible explanations for these findings. For example, those arrested
may be more serious offenders who are on a different life trajectory
than delinquents who are not arrested. However, arrest and sanctioning
do not appear to have had the desired effect on the future offending of
many delinquent youth. It should be noted that arrest and sanctions need
not demonstrate an ameliorative effect to justify their use because the
need to protect public safety, perceived needs for retribution, and the
influence of these actions on general deterrence within the population
cannot be disregarded. Nevertheless, the findings do suggest that arrest
and subsequent sanctions generally have not been a particularly viable
strategy for the prevention of future delinquency and that other
alternatives are needed. The findings also suggest that the use of the
least restrictive sanctions, within the limits of public safety, and
enhanced reentry assistance, monitoring, and support may reduce future
delinquency.
Given these general
observations, it also must be observed that progress has been made and
continues to be made. There are some intervention programs within the
juvenile justice system that have been shown to reduce future
delinquency; other promising programs are currently being evaluated (Aos
et al., 2001; Howell, 2003; Huizinga and Mihalic, 2003; Lipsey and
Wilson, 1998; Mihalic et al., 2001; U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services, 2001).
Utilization of Services
Several service-providing agencies can potentially help both youth
involved in delinquency and their families. These agencies include the
juvenile justice system and external agencies such as schools and social
services. Are they utilized? The Pittsburgh Youth Study investigated
this question by examining the extent to which the parents of delinquent
boys received help for dealing with their problems (Stouthamer-Loeber,
Loeber, and Thomas, 1992; Stouthamer-Loeber et al., 1995). The study
considered help received from anyone (including lay people) and from
professionals (especially mental health professionals). In general,
seeking help for behavior problems was twice as common for the oldest
boys as compared with the youngest (21 percent versus 11 percent,
respectively). In 25 percent of the cases, however, seeking help
resulted in only one contact with a help provider, and it is doubtful
that positive results were achieved in one session.
Programs within the juvenile justice system have reduced future
delinquency.
The percentage of
parents who sought any help help for behavior problems or help from
mental health professionals increased with the seriousness of the
delinquency. However, less than half of the parents of seriously
delinquent boys received any help, and only one-quarter of the parents
of these boys received help from a mental health professional (Stouthamer-Loeber,
Loeber, and Thomas, 1992).
Help in schools
Division of the Pittsburgh
sample into four groups (nondelinquents, persistent nonserious
offenders, persistent property offenders, and persistent violent
offenders) showed that all three persistent offender groups were placed
in special education classes for learning problems at the same rate as
non-delinquents (less than 10 percent). However, more of the
persistently delinquent boys, as compared with the non-delinquent boys,
were placed in classes for behavior problems; this was particularly true
for the violent boys (22.3 percent versus 2.8 percent of the
nondelinquents). Nevertheless, three-quarters (77.7 percent) of the
persistent violent offenders were never placed in a class for behavior
problems, and two-thirds were never placed in any special class.
It is commonly
believed that certain groups of boys receive a disproportionate share of
resources from various agencies. When researchers examined persistent
property and persistent violent offenders, they found that just under
half did not receive any help inside or outside of school (about 48
percent), and only 15.4 percent of the persistent property offenders and
persistent violent offenders received help from mental health
professionals in addition to help in school.
Steps in
developmental pathways
Stouthamer-Loeber and
colleagues (1995) compared movement along the developmental pathways
described above with seeking help for services. In general, the higher
the advancement in multiple pathways, the higher the chances that help
was sought. An early onset of disruptive behaviors, however, did not
increase the frequency at which help was sought.
Court contact
Comparison of court-involved
boys with those who had not had court contact showed that the former
group received more intensive help. It may be possible that court
intervention brought the necessity for help to the parents' attention.
Only 17 percent of the boys' parents sought help before the year in
which their boys were referred to the juvenile court.
In summary, the
development of disruptive and delinquent behaviors was largely left
unchecked by parents and helping agencies. These findings have important
implications for policymakers and planners of preventive interventions.
Merely having programs available may not be adequate; outreach to the
most seriously delinquent youth and their families may also be
essential.
Implications for Prevention
Although the projects of the Program of Research on the Causes and
Correlates of Delinquency were not designed to evaluate preventive
interventions, program findings have important implications for the
design of appropriate interventions. Knowledge of developmental pathways
is relevant for interventions, in that pathways reflect current problem
behaviors in the context of the history of problem behaviors. Knowledge
of pathways also helps identify future problem behaviors that need to be
prevented.
The studies examined
how long disruptive behaviors had been apparent in boys who eventually
were referred to the juvenile court for an index offense5
(Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, 1998). The
average age at which individuals took their first step in any of the
pathways was approximately 7; moderately serious problem behavior began
at about age 9.5 and serious delinquency at about age 12. The average
age at which youth first came into contact with the juvenile court was
14.5. Thus, approximately 71/2
years elapsed between the earliest emergence of disruptive behavior and
the first contact with the juvenile court. It should be noted that
delinquent boys who were not referred to the juvenile court also tended
to have long histories of problem behaviors.
Research findings from
all three Causes and Correlates projects show that youth who start their
delinquency careers before age 13 are at higher risk of becoming serious
and violent offenders than those who start their delinquency careers
later (Huizinga, Esbensen, and Weiher, 1994; Krohn et al., 2001; Loeber
and Farrington, 1998, 2001). These results imply that preventive
interventions to reduce offending should be available at least from the
beginning of elementary school-age onward. However, it is important to
be mindful of the results of the studies' investigation of childhood
offending. Many of the aggressive children did not progress to serious
involvement in serious juvenile crime. This suggests that great care is
needed in the design of intervention programs for aggressive children.
Not all programs are benign, and some may lead to or exacerbate later
problems (Dishion, McCord, and Poulin, 1999).
Further research is
needed to identify those individuals whose childhood aggression leads to
violent behavior later in life. Intervention programs for aggressive
children must be developed, and the outcomes for the children served by
these programs must be carefully evaluated. The pathways model may be
particularly helpful in designing these interventions. Overall, it seems
that the judicious use of early interventions known to have long-term
effectiveness is warranted.
In addition, although
it is never too early to try to prevent offending, it is also never
too late to intervene and attempt to reduce the risk of recidivism for
serious offending (Loeber and Farrington, 1998). There is a complex
relationship between when individuals begin to commit offenses and how
long they persist. A full range of developmentally appropriate and
scientifically validated programs is needed.
The Causes and
Correlates results regarding the impact of maltreatment are consistent
with the importance of developmentally appropriate interventions. It
does not appear that childhood-only maltreatment, as long as it does not
continue into adolescence, is a risk factor for delinquency. Sources of
resiliency, including, perhaps, effective services, must come into play
to help children overcome this adversity. Understanding these resiliency
processes is an important goal for future research, as these processes
have important implications for the design of programs.
Maltreatment that
occurs during adolescence, however, appears to be a substantial risk
factor for later delinquency. This suggests the need for enhanced
services for adolescent victims and, in particular, for services that
reduce the chances of delinquent behavior. As Garbarino (1989) has
pointed out, however, few treatment programs for adolescent victims
exist, and it is often quite difficult to enroll adolescent victims and
their families in the available programs. Much greater attention needs
to be devoted to the topic of adolescent maltreatment and how it
functions as a risk factor for delinquency.
A general strategy for
reducing youth crime also needs to be mindful of the sizeable impact
that gang membership has on serious and violent delinquency. Working
directly with gangs, however, has not yet proved successful and can even
be counterproductive. It may be more productive for juvenile justice
practitioners to use gang membership as a marker variable and send gang
members, on an individual basis, to programs for serious delinquency
that are proven effective (see Thornberry et al., 2003). Several
excellent summaries identify and describe these programs (see Howell,
2003; Huizinga and Mihalic, 2003; Loeber and Farrington, 1998 (Part II);
Mihalic et al., 2001; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services,
2001). Regardless of whether an indirect approach is used or whether
gang members are sent individually to proven effective programs,
intervening with gang members is an important component in reducing a
community's level of youth crime and violence.
Notes
1.
Longer, more detailed summaries of these studies can be found in
Taking Stock of Delinquency: An Overview of Findings from Contemporary
Longitudinal Studies (Thornberry and Krohn, 2003).
2.
Drug use included use of marijuana, inhalants, and hard drugs. School
problems included poor grades and dropping out of school. Mental health
problems were indicated by scores in the top 10 percent of either an
emotional problem or non-delinquent behavioral problem measure.
3.
For information about other topics reviewed by the Causes and Correlates
Studies, see
Program of Research on the Causes and Correlates of Delinquency.
4.
The authors focused on these ages to preserve proper temporal order, but
the pattern of results presented here applies more generally.
5.
The index crimes of the Federal Bureau of Investigation include
homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, auto
theft, and arson.
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This feature: Thornberry, T.P., David Huizinga, D. and Loeber,
R. (2004) Causes and Correlates:
Findings and Implications. Juvenile Justice,
Volume IX No.1, September 2004